Australia Weather News

Exceptionally high atmospheric pressure is currently being observed across south-east states, challenging the all-time Australian record.

The weather station at Sheffield reported a pressure of 1,044.6 hectopascals (hPa) at 10:30am, which would have exceeded the previous Australian record of 1,044.3hPa at Launceston on June 7, 1967.

However, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) on Friday confirmed a miscalculation in converting pressure to sea level is resulting in erroneous figures being published on their website and through external data feeds.

According to the BOM, the actual highest pressure observed on Thursday was 1043.9hPa at Ouse, which would be 0.5hPa below the record.

However, the high looks likely to peak again near 1,044hPa early on Saturday, providing another opportunity for a record before the system weakens from Sunday.

The abnormal pressure is having a significant impact on the nation's weather, including extreme low overnight temperatures over south-east states and a lengthy stretch of showery days along the eastern seaboard.

The near-record high atmospheric pressure is due to an intense high-pressure system anchored near Tasmania, which is not only very strong but also exceptionally broad and slow moving.

The high's incredible size will allow the system to control the weather this week from Fiji to a few hundred kilometres off the WA west coast — a distance of about 7,000 kilometres.

So how is the elevated pressure impacting the weather? While highs generally bring mostly settled conditions, the precise weather this week around Australia is largely dependent on a location's position relative to the system's centre.

Although frosty nights are common under a high in winter the additional presence of polar air in the wake of a weekend front has allowed minimums to drop as much as 12 below average this week, even breaking a handful of records in Tasmania and South Australia.

While the southern states are shivering, the record high is leading to a prolonged spell of wet days along the east coast.

Since winds blow anti-clockwise around highs, Queensland and NSW are stuck in prevailing south-easterly winds, an onshore direction which is blowing in showers off the Tasman and Coral seas.

Conversely, on the west coast northerly winds are blowing, bringing above average temperatures to Perth this week.

Pressure impacted by jet stream but well below global record

High pressure systems form when air descends towards the surface, explaining why they normally bring clear weather since rising air is required for thick cloud and rain.

The current systems' central pressure has soared well above your typical high due to lingering polar air over southern Australia and a decelerating jet stream which is enhancing the amount of air pushing towards the ground from high altitude.

"Two of the main factors are the subsidence associated with the jet stream across central/eastern Australia and the broad pool of cold and dense air across the country and waters to the south," a Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) spokesperson said.

While barometer readings above 1,040hPa are rare by Australia standards, the pressure is well below the almost daily readings observed across eastern Russia in winter where intense cold and dense air leads to a semi permanent strong anti-cyclone called the "Siberian high".

According to the World Meteorological Organization, the highest global air pressure from the Siberian High sits at 1,084hPa (or 1,089hPa for an elevated location reduced to sea level).

Pressure drops sea level but humans impact uncertain

The most noticeable impact of high air pressure besides the weather, is a lowering of sea levels as the increased pressure pushes down on the water.

A difference of one hectopascals from the average can cause a change in sea level of about 1 centimetre.

Considering pressure is currently about 30hPa above normal the BOM expects sea levels over south-east Australia will drop accordingly.

"We expect sea levels near the centre of the high pressure system to be about 30cm lower than usual under average weather conditions."

The depression in sea levels under high atmospheric pressure is the reverse of the coastal flooding which results from very low pressure associated with tropical cyclones.

So can humans detect a change in atmospheric pressure of 30hPa? A frequent discussion point is how pressure impacts conditions like arthritis.

A 2019 study published in Nature concluded a moderate link between pressure and chronic pain, with the odds of pain lower with an increase in atmospheric pressure.

This research offers hope the current spell of record high pressure could lead to reduced symptoms from arthritis, although the findings are inconclusive to the actual cause since the weather impacts human behaviour.

It's hypothesised by some doctors and researchers the changed behaviour due to weather, for example staying inside during wet days, is affecting pain rather than the direct impact of the weather itself.

Climate change to fuel stronger highs

It took more than half a century to break Australia's air pressure record, but if weather trends continue, the next challenge could occur in a much shorter time span.

Data from the BOM shows both the density and intensity of highs has increased since 1950 around Australia, meaning not only are high pressure systems more frequent, they are also slowly gaining in strength.

The shift towards stronger highs around the mid latitudes is a well researched trend related to shifts in the position of weather systems around the world, including a contraction of low-pressure systems away from southern Australia in winter as outlined in the BOM's most recent State of the Climate Report. 

"There has been an increase in the number of high-pressure systems over southern Australia, which bring dry, clear weather and little rainfall," the report said.